Sunday, January 15, 2012

Shanghai points to steep fall 5.3% achieve 4 years of the oldest odd-numbered days to drop real estate gets a bank drop

Be in a bank now " Qian Huang " spread below the influence of the message, the weight such as bank, real estate heavy defeat, shanghai points to drop even more 5% approach 1949 a little bit, achieve the oldest odd-numbered days drops since 9 years August 31, become greatly point to drop broken early days adjusts low, achieve 4 years to come new low.

Up to closing quotation, shanghai shows the newmodern dining chairsspaper drops at 1963 o'clock 5.30% , clinch a deal the forehead 87.9 billion yuan, Deep card is become point toThe newspaper drops at 7588 o'clock 6.73% , clinch a deal the forehead 91.5 billion yuan.

Dish on the face, board piece all fronts breaks up green, two city 71 wave red, two city drop nearly 200 times stop, coloured, finance, landed, coal board piece steep fall even more 7% , Bank of the people's livelihood, Restful bank, Start trade bankDrop stop, Enrol business real estate, Keep benefit real estatebrass faucetDrop stop, In oilDrop even more 4% achieve the history again new low.

From drop on look, small commercial bank drops in an apparent prep above 4 big, the analysis calls the Central Bank business of a person of same business of this less important blow, proportion of business of a person of same business is high is medium small bank, the money between the bank basically is in big hand, capital insecurity is big travel greatly in wishing to borrow money to give small bank, because this suffers,affect bigger.

As " Qian Huang " continue to spread, a lot of and associated market is producing change one by one. Like rising to had resembled dominoes effect suddenly, conduct of value of monetary market fund to note market, and business of note of time-out of partial commercial bank is aggravate more stick continuously, turn those who stick interest rate is strong tall.

Analytic personage thinks, fluidity metaphase or manage relatively tight situation. Violent wind of domestic fund value rises cause a debt double kill, beautiful couplet store the important and exterior reason that exits QE to anticipate warming up is fluidity insecurity, this may cause future fthe best selling watch casesor some time to add foreign currency newly to occupy paragraph trend sex to be in low, however more main reason is the Central Bank maintains relatively nervous liquidity of purpose probably.

Lucky silver is in grind newly newspaper middle finger goes out, epicycle money market "norton internet antivirus Qian Huang " besides seasonal outside the element, account of justifiable still money trades suffer be restricted, fluidity adjusting control is not loosened continuously wait for an element. Lucky silver thinks, fall to high case in bill discount interest rate, predict to add credit newly June to rise under expectant probability.

Lucky silver-colored negotiable securities thinks, of money market " Qian Huang " the phenomenon reachs continuance in July the middle ten days of a month. Lucky silver releases before this grind the newspaper thinks, a few have future inside week a few big factors cause impact to financing area: It the most popular selling norton internet antivirusis 5 big year share out bonus should absorb about 240 billion yuan of fluidity; 2 be in year when product of dot bank conduct watch case openerfinancial transactions, exceed product of short-term fund conduct financial transactions experience is only redemptive, or will bring greater financing pressure to monetary market; 3 it is on the high side of fthe most popular north face shirtsinancial orgnaization leverage, future the liquidation pressure of a month is very great; 4 it is the bank will be at the beginning of July filling capture makes an appointment with 800 billion yuan of reserve; 5 was July amount of turn over to the higher authoritiesharrison hot spring deal of deposit of finance of the middle ten days of a month increases once more, predicting concussion dimensions is controlled in 450 billion yuan.

Although interest empty factor caused the market,negotiable securities of the people's livelihood thinks drop, but the circumstance that the reason of dwatch caseseeper administrative levels still is main area. Above all, collected abundant PMI initial value June for 48.3% , continue fall after a rise, successive already two months are located in vicissitude boundary lower part. The index of go ahead of the rest June again adumbrative, of economy glide posture does not have a change, demonstrative enterprise is produced still more difficult, what the new order index that produces energy on behalf of the enterprise also achieves 10 months continuously is new low. Demand of inside and outside is exhausted weak, investment lasts fall after a rise, exit almost 0 growth explain economic look forward to still needs time firmly.

Next, fluidity hasten is close, those who bring capital is crowded give effect. Foreign currency occupied paragraph shrink May close most probably, bank Ji Mo is put borrow extend than turn over to the higher authorities of reserve of assessment, deposit and bonus etc, make capital hasten close, capital interest rate innovates repeatedly tall, on June 21, the Central Bank is passed directional go against counter-purchased means to note endowment, released partial fluidity, make of the previous night and 7 days of interest rate begin to glide, but the others is major interest rate still continues to go up, the hasten interest sex of capital is shown again.

Finally, of periphery market drop, make field of A stock market one disaster after another. Beautiful couplet store exit QE stage by stage, make global market general drops, capital pours out of rising market quickly, exsanguinate effect is apparent, this will change the supply demand relations of capital for a long time.

Integrated afore-mentioned analysises, the market is in as before exceeding the adjustment of weak the best spring poolforce in pattern, proposal investor maintains low warehouse, treat calmly steep fall the process rebounds mediumly.

Whether should the layer save this city problem to go up in management, li Daxiao expresses, hope management layer moves to help cityvancouver to harrison hot springs, help city principal live firmly first index, it is the key of the success that help city, city is helped in all previous in very effective, include Hong Kong to help city in those days.

And Lin Yi of analyst of Great Wall negotiable securities thinks, policy sex moves when the point may have not come, if be home merely,fall because of initiative of course the panic that element of the demote below the market risk preference that the fluidity tension that lever brings brings about causes, the likelihood also can alleviate stage by stage after July, what also do not have skill so is necessary.

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