Grade orgnaization gives out a warning to say Chinese credit expands to already arrived the limit

External capital is flowed into and in-house credit expands, made fluidity foam of China. But at present looks, credit bubble of China has reachwatch case manufacturered the limit probably.

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A few days ago, international of grade orgnaization Huiyu puts forward to warn to China, "Chinese credit dimensions reachs the limit, cast off the predicament of excessive investment very hard in that way like the past, this means future to will face difficult period. " the senior director Zhu Xialian that Hui Yuguo border is stationed in Beijing says or state with certainty even, by the growth of credit drive mode is about to break down apparently. This meeting is caused produce can surplus problem, may take China Japanesque deflationary times.

Hui Yuguo border the data base that makes this one judgement is, since Lei Man closes down, chinese credit total rises from 9 trillion dollar to 23 trillion dollar, be in weak point the dimensions of the commercial bank system that whole United States duplicated in 5 years. Credit occupies G D P to compare in 5 years from 75% rise to 200% , and the United States second bthe best selling modern dining chairsefore borrowing burst of bubble of the economy at the beginning of 90 time of the crisis and Japan, this ratio is about 40% .

It is besides bank credit system, shadow bank of China in recent years mad also dilate. Among them, the grain property of 2 trillion tastes dimensions is a bank " hidden the 2nd balance sheet " , makei want modern dining chairs its OK avoid loan limitation, the person that steer clear of is superintended avoids loan exceeding measure.

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Hui Yuguo border thinks, this will make the core of the risk, this product money of the half neethe best spring poolds exhibition period of every 3 months, the exhibition period time of additionally 25% criterion under 6 months. The data of Hui Yuguo border shows, up to this year first quarter, the dimensions of product of Chinese inland conduct financial transactions already was as hspring pooligh as 13 trillion yuan, will be in partly greatly very much among them expired in June.

Chinese government also saw the harm that credit expands apparently, began difficult extruding bubble process, this alsofree modern dining chairs isthe most popular north face shirts tierce of Li Kejiang of pthe most popular norton internet antivirusremier of the State Council puts forward " activation money credit puts an amount " reason, this makes known this position to reveal an administration to stop outspread sex policy, add with fast money no longer fast promote growth,free norton internet antivirus make finance better serve the interest at hypostatic economy.

"Policy intent may be to pass tall look forward to of short-term capital interest rate to harrison hot spring dealforce the bank amends a balance sheet, develop the function of the money that put an amount then, promote a money current rate, with better service substance economy. " Ceng Sheng of manager of investment of gold of gain time base says.